long term weather forecast

[rickleach]

anyone got any goodish links?

[Nelly]

This is what positive weather solutions are saying:

June – Some warmth, occasional rain
June will feature some sunny episodes and warm to potentially very warm temperatures. The warmth will not be sustained everywhere, with cooler weather and showers or more organised bands of rain developing as high pressure is from time to time undermined from various quarters. In general, the North and West are at greatest risk of unsettled weather, whilst the South and East can again expect to remain the driest for the lengthiest periods, with south-eastern areas, where it will occasionally turn very warm, also likely to fare best temperature-wise. This part of England will share the better conditions likely to develop across much of mainland Europe – likewise however these are the areas at greatest risk from imported thundery showers. Temperatures for the UK and Irish Republic are on the whole likely to be just above the norm, with countrywide rainfall generally below the long-term average.

Met Check is also quite a reliable one. I've ordered good weather anyway so don't worry

[glastomad]

I had a good look about the internet and no one seems to do any forecasts longer than 14 days, I found one with 16 but it didn't recognize glastonbury or pilton to be real places so I don't think you'l find a specific one just yet

[exstockwellgooner]

This is what positive weather solutions are saying:

June – Some warmth, occasional rain
June will feature some sunny episodes and warm to potentially very warm temperatures. The warmth will not be sustained everywhere, with cooler weather and showers or more organised bands of rain developing as high pressure is from time to time undermined from various quarters. In general, the North and West are at greatest risk of unsettled weather, whilst the South and East can again expect to remain the driest for the lengthiest periods, with south-eastern areas, where it will occasionally turn very warm, also likely to fare best temperature-wise. This part of England will share the better conditions likely to develop across much of mainland Europe – likewise however these are the areas at greatest risk from imported thundery showers. Temperatures for the UK and Irish Republic are on the whole likely to be just above the norm, with countrywide rainfall generally below the long-term average.

Met Check is also quite a reliable one. I've ordered good weather anyway so don't worry

Really hope you are right about your order Nelly-these forecasts (we used to use them at work-but they proved to be hopeless) crack me up-they are so non-committal, vague and generic everyone can take something out of of them-they must be written by the weather version of Chemical Ali

Also noticed that those "Organised bands of Rain" may make an appearance.........Park Stage Saturday night?

[maclauk]

It appears like The Weather Outlook should have its forecast up already (reads -1 days at the moment) so worth checking :

http://theweatheroutlook.com/twofore...t-planner.aspx

I also look at Metcheck using the postcode BA4 :

http://www.metcheck.com/

To be honest I find checking them a bad habit that I'll probably fail to break this year.

[wozle]

the one nelly has put from is positive weather solutions, and they are pretty spot on most of the time...
but they do have a more detailed one for the glasto week:

http://www.positiveweathersolutions....-June-26th.php

[wozle]

....at least it will be dry

[santhony]

I always keep an eye on this. He does a thread every year. He starts tracking patterns as early as May, but is now tracking and commenting daily.

http://forum.netweather.tv/topic/697...-gfs-6th-june/

[Nelly]

the one nelly has put from is positive weather solutions, and they are pretty spot on most of the time...
but they do have a more detailed one for the glasto week:

http://www.positiveweathersolutions....-June-26th.php

Thanks for that. I note they cover themselves by saying 'it is looking favourable at the moment'.

However, they do tend to be fairly accurate.

[duggyfresh]

Looking good here. But who knows at this early stage.

http://www.theweatheroutlook.com/two...ury&selected=0

[zakmatt]

Check out this baby for the weather forecast ...

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/topics/we...scorching.html

[glastomad]

Check out this baby for the weather forecast ...

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/topics/we...scorching.html

Oh don't we all wish this was true

[Lou's other half]

Check out this baby for the weather forecast ...

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/topics/we...scorching.html

And that's the first time I've believed what it says in the Telegraph...!

[maclauk]

Check out this baby for the weather forecast ...

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/topics/we...scorching.html

Although that is better than mud, that forecast scares me a little... I'm of Scottish blood and have to tan to get from pale blue to white... and there's not a lot of cool shade a Glastonbury.

Last year a number of people took to sitting in the path of the nature reserve to get themselves under some quality tree shade. Time to start a new thread..... what venues provide the coolest shade...

[TAFKASair]

I'm a bit of a milkywhite type as well. Last year I watched Seasick Steve from under a white sheet - midday in the open, I was going to fry!

The Park has lots of lovely shadey shelter - the tea house in the tree is awesome.
Acoustic stage usually has a nice cool breeze around it if you're not right in the middle.
The Glade (or whatever it's called now) is all trees, sorted.

[wozle]

Check out this baby for the weather forecast ...

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/topics/we...scorching.html

AAARGHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH YEEEEEEEEEEEY!!!!!
:b dance:

[tort]

Met Check is also quite a reliable one.

Since when???

Any weather forecast more than 48 hours in advance is guess work at best & Metcheck are without doubt the most unreliable of the lot!

[Lexilou]

since this is my first year, all previous years ive had to make do with watching on my sofa, ive never really taken notice of the weather on the run up to Glasto weekend. We are getting a pretty mixed bag here in South Wales at the moment, anybody remeber what the week or two before last years scorcher were like? not that that makes much difference really!! I am constantly doing good weather mantra's. IT WILL BE SUNNY! IT WILL NOT RAIN! etc

[Holesey]

Scorchio!! downside.. warm beer!

[Nelly]

Since when???

Any weather forecast more than 48 hours in advance is guess work at best & Metcheck are without doubt the most unreliable of the lot!

Since my friend got married two years ago. She swears by it, plus it was also accurate for last years Glasto. But it is probably wishful thinking on their part. Bit like sticking a pin in a map.

I don't want to pee on anyones bonfire but the Telegraph claims have been wrong to date. It was released on 2 June and I believe it has rained every day since last Sunday.

[Holesey]

Since my friend got married two years ago. She swears by it, plus it was also accurate for last years Glasto. But it is probably wishful thinking on their part. Bit like sticking a pin in a map.

I don't want to pee on anyones bonfire but the Telegraph claims have been wrong to date. It was released on 2 June and I believe it has rained every day since last Sunday.

It does say its going to be hot this weekend but as it is at the moment can't see that happening

[Nelly]

It's going to pee down on Sunday! IOW-ers will get wet.

[Holesey]

I live in a small village next to the Download festival which is on this weekend... oh dear lots of rain...

It does get me in the mood for Glasto though.. as I was getting home from work last night, some of them had a shopping trolley from the local coop and made it into a BBQ, crashed out in the middle of a roundabout eating and getting hammered!

[ROWLANEL]

From the Met Office site:

UK Outlook for Wednesday 15 Jun 2011 to Friday 24 Jun 2011:

The period will start with cloudy and wet weather in the south and west of the country, moving northeast to reach most parts by Thursday, although the rain should be lighter by this stage. Becoming showery in the west on Thursday with a few sunny spells. Moderate winds in most areas but strong in the west, and temperatures on the cool side, but nearer normal in the east. The end of the week and the weekend will see a few periods of drier and brighter weather but often unsettled spells with more showers or rain, perhaps prolonged rain the west on Sunday. Continuing risk of strong winds in the west, and temperatures remaining cool. Staying unsettled for the rest of the period, possibly drier and slightly warmer in the southeast.

UK Outlook for Saturday 25 Jun 2011 to Saturday 9 Jul 2011:

Daytime temperatures are expected to be below average in the north and west of the UK during the period, but night temperatures will be around average. Cloud cover is likely to be extensive here with lower than average amounts of sunshine, and average levels of rainfall. In southern and southeastern areas, temperatures should generally vary around average, with sunshine amounts normal for the time of year. Rainfall will probably be less than average in these areas.

[tort]

So cold & wet then! Still a whole 12 days for it to change again significantly several times. Chances are it'll be somewhere between 2007 and 2010. Go prepared for anything different and pay the consequences.

[Mandypants]

Trying not to panic just yet, but I will pack my gaiters and perhaps swap one of my strappy tops for something a bit warmer, that should do. Raincoat and boots were already on the list, as they always are, regardless of forecasts.

[whatme]

ive always used country file on bbc1 on sundays for there weekly weather forcast's, will definetly be watching next sunday

just an old country boy at heart and old before me time maybe

then pack boots and waterproofs in a seperate bag and hopefully leave them in the car all weekend

[whatme]

Raincoat and boots were already on the list, as they always are, regardless of forecasts.

were the same took it all last year but left it all in the car.

[ROWLANEL]

I always take mine on site as I learnt a very valuable lesson back in ?2005 (think that's when the massive thunderstorms struck) when I had to walk back to the car to get my wet gear and nearly drowned in the process, literally!

[mifftas]

mmmmm id prefer warm beer n wine as to soaking wet kegs and cans slipping out me hand and wasting valuable beer !... nowt better than last year sitting drinking beer whilst ray davies played waterloo sunset....priceless.and faithless as the sun went down !

[Nelly]

Worry not fellow festival goers, its guaranteed sunshine now that Mr Nelly has just purchased a new pair of wellies.

[whatme]

whilst ray davies played waterloo sunset....priceless.and faithless as the sun went down !

was an amazing day ray was one of the highlights for us, playing while we were getting knocked out some football tourniment or something

[m1keanderson]

Latest Forecast:



Pack wellies and a mac.

And suncream and shorts.

And jumpers and thermals.

[maclauk]

Changed already....
TWO1106112036.jpg
Sorry but don't have an external URL to post the picture on... but if you can't read it it is a bit more positive than the edition posted by M1ke.

[Hash4Cash]

ooh that one is better

[m1keanderson]

Changed already....
Sorry but don't have an external URL to post the picture on... but if you can't read it it is a bit more positive than the edition posted by M1ke.

Thanks, Maclauk. Here's a bigger version:



The predicted rain is about an eigth of an inch Wednesday into Thursday and only half that on Friday night.

[tort]

Still absolutely no point giving any creedence to long range forecasts. It'll still be finger in the air time this time next week.

[m1keanderson]

Still absolutely no point giving any creedence to long range forecasts. It'll still be finger in the air time this time next week.

Agree completely, but talking about the weather is a national pastime and I'm determined to squeeze one tornado smiley in ...

[maclauk]

http://www.theweatheroutlook.com/for...uk/Glastonbury

Just checked this morning and looks even better .... however the degree of variation in the forecast in less than 24 hours hints that you may as well roll a dice to get your Glasto forecast

[wozle]

if its glorious sunshine like that in june as that forecast is saying there is no chance it would be only 15c!
like everyone else is saying, the forecasts for this week are being way off so cant rely on a long term one, i check weather yesterday morn for sheffield for the next 5 days, and on wed it said thunderstorms, then last night it said sunshine, and now today it says rain!? its all very unpredictable! ill be checking weather on the monday and packing accordingly.